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2019 College Basketball Bracketology

College Basketball

2019 College Basketball Bracketology, Men’s Division I

The field of 68 as we see it.

It’s finally here: 2019 college basketball bracketology. Can the 2019 NCAA Tournament be far behind now?

As some celebrate St. Patrick’s Day with a pint, it’s also Selection Sunday, March 17, 2019. 68 teams will learn their NCAA Tournament seeds and others will find out that fate was indeed a cruel mistress. Before we learn in an official sense who is in and out, we tell you our read on the college basketball landscape and size up the contenders.

First, we start with a good, old-fashioned S-curve. Those are our 68 teams ranked in order. Then, we plug them into the bracket. If you want to know WHY we picked certain teams and snubbed others, we have analysis at the bottom. There, that should cover it.

For the hell of it, we’re throwing in a link to last year’s bracketology. Those interested in other college sports can also find their way to our 2019 college hockey bracketology page.

To know when the 32 conferences will be getting their March action on, check out the 2019 conference tournament schedule.

Bracketology last updated on March 17, 2019.

2019 College Basketball Bracketology: S-Curve

1 Duke Blue Devils ACC Champion
2 Virginia Cavaliers ACC At-Large
3 Tennessee Volunteers SEC Champion
4 North Carolina Tar Heels ACC At-Large
5 Gonzaga Bulldogs WCC At-Large
6 Kentucky Wildcats SEC At-Large
7 Michigan State Spartans Big Ten Champion
8 Michigan Wolverines Big Ten At-Large
9 Houston Cougars American Champion
10 Florida State Seminoles ACC At-Large
11 Texas Tech Red Raiders Big 12 At-Large
12 LSU Tigers SEC At-Large
13 Kansas Jayhawks Big 12 At-Large
14 Purdue Boilermakers Big Ten At-Large
15 Wisconsin Badgers Big Ten At-Large
16 Iowa State Cyclones Big 12 Champion
17 Virginia Tech Hokies ACC At-Large
18 Auburn Tigers SEC At-Large
19 Mississippi State Bulldogs SEC At-Large
20 Villanova Wildcats Big East Champion
21 Kansas State Wildcats Big 12 At-Large
22 Louisville Cardinals ACC At-Large
23 Buffalo Bulls MAC Champion
24 Marquette Golden Eagles Big East At-Large
25 Cincinnati Bearcats American At-Large
26 Nevada Wolf Pack MWC At-Large
27 Maryland Terrapins Big Ten At-Large
28 Wofford Terriers Southern Champion
29 Iowa Hawkeyes Big Ten At-Large
30 Ole Miss Rebels SEC At-Large
31 Syracuse Orange ACC At-Large
32 Utah State Aggies MWC Champion
33 UCF Knights American At-Large
34 Seton Hall Pirates Big East At-Large
35 Baylor Bears Big 12 At-Large
36 Oklahoma Sooners Big 12 At-Large
37 Florida Gators SEC At-Large
38 Washington Huskies Pac-12 At-Large
39 VCU Rams A-10 At-Large
40 Minnesota Golden Gophers Big Ten At-Large
41 Ohio State Buckeyes Big Ten At-Large
42 St. John’s Red Storm Big East At-Large
43 Arizona State Sun Devils Pac-12 At-Large
44 Oregon Ducks Pac-12 Champion
45 Saint Mary’s Gaels WCC Champion
46 Murray State Racers OVC Champion
47 TCU Horned Frogs Big 12 At-Large
48 Temple Owls American At-Large
49 New Mexico State Aggies WAC Champion
50 Liberty Flames A-Sun Champion
51 Vermont Catamounts AmEast Champion
52 UC-Irvine Anteaters Big West Champion
53 Northeastern Huskies CAA Champion
54 Old Dominion Monarchs C-USA Champion
55 St. Bonaventure Bonnies A-10 Champion
56 Yale Bulldogs Ivy Champion
57 Georgia State Panthers Sun Belt Champion
58 Bradley Braves MVC Champion
59 Montana Grizzlies Big Sky Champion
60 Northern Kentucky Norse Horizon Champion
61 Colgate Raiders Patriot Champion
62 Gardner-Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs Big South Champion
63 Abilene Christian Wildcats Southland Champion
64 Prairie View A&M Panthers SWAC Champion
65 Iona Gaels MAAC Champion
66 Fairleigh Dickinson Knights NEC Champion
67 North Dakota State Bison Summit Champion
68 NC Central Eagles MEAC Champion

First Ten Out

NC State Wolfpack (ACC)
Texas Longhorns (Big 12)
Belmont Bruins (OVC)
Clemson Tigers (ACC)
Lipscomb Bisons (Atlantic Sun)
Furman Paladins (Southern)
UNC-Greensboro Spartans (Southern)
Indiana Hoosiers (Big Ten)
Alabama Crimson Tide (SEC)
Creighton Bluejays (Big East)

College Basketball Bracketology: 2019 NCAA Tournament First Four

Dayton, OH
16 Iona (MAAC)
16 Fairleigh Dickinson (NEC)

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Dayton, OH
16 North Dakota State (Summit)
16 North Carolina Central (MEAC)

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Dayton, OH
11 St. John’s (Big East)
11 Arizona State (Pac-12)

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Dayton, OH
12 TCU (Big 12)
12 Temple (American)

2019 College Basketball Bracketology: East Region (Washington)

Columbia, SC
1 Duke (ACC)
16 North Dakota State (Summit) or NC Central (MEAC)

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Columbia, SC
8 Utah State (MWC)
9 UCF (American)

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San Jose, CA
4 Iowa State (Big 12)
13 Vermont (America East)

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San Jose, CA
5 Virginia Tech (ACC)
12 Liberty (Atlantic Sun)

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Tulsa, OK
3 LSU (SEC)
14 St. Bonaventure (A-10)

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Tulsa, OK
6 Louisville (ACC)
11 Oregon (Pac-12)

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Des Moines, IA
7 Cincinnati (American)
10 VCU (A-10)

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Des Moines, IA
2 Michigan (Big Ten)
15 Montana (Big Sky)

2019 College Basketball Bracketology: West Region (Anaheim)

Columbia, SC
1 North Carolina (ACC)
16 Abilene Christian (Southland)

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Columbia, SC
8 Iowa (Big Ten)
9 Oklahoma (Big 12)

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San Jose, CA
4 Wisconsin (Big Ten)
13 Northeastern (CAA)

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San Jose, CA
5 Mississippi State (SEC)
12 New Mexico State (WAC)

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Tulsa, OK
3 Houston (American)
14 Bradley (MVC)

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Tulsa, OK
6 Kansas State (Big 12)
11 Saint Mary’s (WCC)

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Salt Lake City, UT
7 Nevada (MWC)
10 Minnesota (Big Ten)

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Salt Lake City, UT
2 Gonzaga (WCC)
15 Gardner-Webb (Big South)

2019 College Basketball Bracketology: Midwest Region (Kansas City)

Columbus, OH
1 Tennessee (SEC)
16 Prairie View A&M (SWAC)

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Columbus, OH
8 Syracuse (ACC)
9 Baylor (Big 12)

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Hartford, CT
4 Kansas (Big 12)
13 Old Dominion (C-USA)

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Hartford, CT
5 Villanova (Big East)
12 Murray State (OVC)

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Jacksonville, FL
3 Florida State (ACC)
14 Georgia State (Sun Belt)

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Jacksonville, FL
6 Buffalo (MAC)
11 St. John’s (Big East) OR Arizona State (Pac-12)

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Des Moines, IA
7 Wofford (Southern)
10 Florida (SEC)

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Des Moines, IA
2 Michigan State (Big Ten)
15 Northern Kentucky (Horizon)

2019 College Basketball Bracketology: South Region (Louisville)

Columbus, OH
1 Virginia (ACC)
16 Iona (MAAC) OR Fairleigh Dickinson (NEC)

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Columbus, OH
8 Ole Miss (SEC)
9 Seton Hall (Big East)

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Hartford, CT
4 Purdue (Big Ten)
13 UC-Irvine (Big West)

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Hartford, CT
5 Auburn (SEC)
12 TCU (Big 12) OR Temple (American)

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Salt Lake City, UT
3 Texas Tech (Big 12)
14 Yale (Ivy)

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Salt Lake City, UT
6 Marquette (Big East)
11 Ohio State (Big Ten)

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Jacksonville, FL
7 Maryland (Big Ten)
10 Washington (Pac-12)

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Jacksonville, FL
2 Kentucky (SEC)
15 Colgate (Patriot)

2019 College Basketball Bracketology: Notes and Gripes, March 10

Texas: Someone give me a good reason why 16-15 Texas should be in the NCAA Tournament? If they win some games in the Big 12 Tournament, they will naturally rise. If they go one-and-done, they are finished, and will remain where they are. It’s that simple. Officially, Murray State’s win gave Belmont an at-large and knocked the Longhorns onto the NIT side of the void.

Washington: You are lucky to be a nine seed. That could easily be a ten.

Iowa State: A team limping into the tournament, Iowa State took a big hit. That seven line doesn’t look so good on the Cyclones.

North Carolina: The Tar Heels are closer to knocking on the door of a one seed than you think, but I do not think the ACC will get three up there. Two, yes.

LSU: Remains deserving of the two seed, as we stated in our last update. This is due to body of work and does not consider the coach doing naughty things.

Alabama: They played their way out of the tournament over the last few weeks.

Butler: The Bulldogs are on our board — as the 11th team out. What a miserable collapse.

General Comment: After filling in the eight seeds, the bubble looked ghastly and I felt dirty having to pick about 10-12 more teams. At least a couple of them would be in the NIT most years. What does that say about the teams we left behind?

2019 College Basketball Bracketology: Check Out That Bubble, February 24

Are you seeing some of the teams we have in our first eight out? The likes of Murray State, San Francisco, Liberty, and Furman. Those teams are not careless throw-ins, either. The First Four at-large matchups are in the 12-seed range, and any of those teams we just listed, if they made the tournament, would be roughly 13 seeds. You will therefore notice a lack of major-conference teams on the board, and we have nudged Utah State a little further into the tournament. They are a candidate for a March 17 snub, but let’s be candid: the bubble is terrible.

Nebraska has done little to deserve being in the tournament, and they are still on our board. When you get beyond our first eight out, we arrive at a list of teams that I would struggle to place in the NIT, including such schools as Creighton, Memphis, Oregon, and Toledo. It’s a race to the bottom and like last year, we are probably going to have some 14 and maybe even 15-loss at-large teams.

2019 College Basketball Bracketology: The Lowdown, February 12

There wasn’t a lot of movement off of the true seed lines, though some teams are going to be out of their so-called natural regions of interest. Someone has to play those games in California and Utah, after all. Regional pods went in order of priority among the top seeds lines, and then the lesser of the top-fours got what was left over, as it should be.

The Pac-12 remains a one-bid conference, with Arizona State still lurking out there. We were ready to drop Oklahoma out of the tournament thanks to their losing streak, but then we discovered there are several teams with even less impressive resumes. Did you realize we have teams in contention that are barely over .500 overall? And some of these people want to expand the tournament to 96.

At least we think we’ve set up some nice regions. The Elite Eight could be Tennessee vs. North Carolina (South), Virginia vs. Kentucky (Midwest), Gonzaga vs. Michigan State (West), and Duke vs. Michigan (East).

2019 College Basketball Bracketology: The Lowdown, January 19

There are a few major divergences in our bracketology from other bracketologists. For example, others put Minnesota into the field and we don’t even have them first four out. We slighted them because their NET of 65 is meh, the 110 strength of schedule is worse, and they picked up a Quadrant 3 loss. The recent Illinois loss was only Quadrant 2, but if you’re fighting for a tournament bid, getting demolished by a 4-12 team will not help you pass the eye test.

Further, we are bullish on North Carolina with combination of good NET, strength of schedule, and Quadrant 1 wins.

We are low on Central Florida and almost left them out of the field. Others have them around the 10 line right now but they have no Quadrant 1 wins, a weak strength of schedule, and a Quadrant 4 loss. Their lone saving grace was having a NET of 38.

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