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2018-19 College Hockey Key Games

College Hockey

2018-19 College Hockey Key Games Tracker

PairWising our way to the tournament.

With the 2018-19 College Hockey Key Games Tracker, you’ll know how the teams likely to make the 2019 NCAA Hockey Tournament are doing.

It may also occur to you, based on the results below, who is NOT going to be in the field of sixteen. The name of the game is working your way up the PairWise Rankings by USCHO.com, which parallels the NCAA’s selection formula. This is not a bracketology article, though that will be coming at the start of 2019. Here, we track the big wins against the PWR and the bad losses. If you make a big jump, it’s a good win. Take a tumble from a defeat and it’s a bad loss.

We will show you all of the games that have a meaningful impact on the PairWise Rankings, at least for those teams closer to the top. If you’re 58th and you win a game to get to 53rd, sorry, but we don’t really care.

Please also note that if it’s a minor shift (as in, one spot either way), we may not show it, especially early in the season. Towards the end of the year, however, one spot in the PWR can make a huge difference.

The most recent weeks will be at the bottom. The tracker begins with games from December 1, 2018.

2018-19 College Hockey Key Games: Week 10 (Nov. 30 – Dec. 4, 2018)

Positive PWR Impacts, Dec. 1, 2018

Notre Dame defeats RPI; PWR rank increases from 8th to 6th.
Yale defeats Clarkson; PWR rank increases from 21st to 17th.
North Dakota defeats Minnesota Duluth; PWR rank increases from 24th to 16th.
Air Force defeats RIT; PWR rank increases from 30th to 23rd.
Cornell defeats Harvard; PWR rank increases from 32nd to 22nd.
Wisconsin defeats Penn State; PWR rank increases from 33rd to 24th.
Minnesota ties with Ohio State; PWR rank increases from 34th to 25th.

Negative PWR Impacts, Dec. 1, 2018

Penn State defeated by Wisconsin; PWR rank decreases from 5th to 10th.
Clarkson defeated by Yale; PWR rank decreases from 15th to 19th.
Princeton defeated by Quinnipiac; PWR rank decreases from 17th to 28th.
Bemidji State defeated by Michigan Tech; PWR rank decreases from 18th to 21st.
Harvard defeated by Cornell; PWR rank decreases from T-21st to 33rd.
RIT defeated by Air Force; PWR rank decreases from 23rd to 34th.
Michigan ties with Michigan State; PWR rank decreases from 25th to 29th.
Dartmouth ties with Colgate; PWR rank decreases from T-26th to 30th.

2018-19 College Hockey Key Games: Week 11 (Dec. 6 – Dec. 12, 2018)

Positive PWR Impacts, Dec. 6, 2018

Boston College defeats Connecticut; PWR rank increases from 46th to 38th.

Negative PWR Impacts, Dec. 6, 2018

Connecticut defeated by Boston College; PWR rank decreases from 47th to 50th.

Positive PWR Impacts, Dec. 7, 2018

Quinnipiac defeats Massachusetts; PWR rank increases from 5th to 4th.
UMass-Lowell defeats Boston University; PWR rank increases from 28th to 25th.
Lake Superior State defeats Alaska; PWR rank increases from 33rd to 28th.
Niagara defeats Colgate; PWR rank increases from 35th to 32nd.
Boston College defeats Connecticut; PWR rank increases from 38th to 34th.

Negative PWR Impacts, Dec. 7, 2018

Northeastern fell three spots from 13th to 16th despite not playing.
Michigan Tech defeated by Northern Michigan; PWR rank decreases from T-17th to 21st.
Clarkson defeated by St. Lawrence; PWR rank decreases from 19th to 30th.
Dartmouth defeated by New Hampshire; PWR rank decreases from 30th to 37th.
RIT defeated by Sacred Heart; PWR rank decreases from 34th to T-41st.

Positive PWR Impacts, Dec. 8, 2018

Providence rose four spots from 15th to 11th despite not playing.
Wisconsin defeats Michigan State; PWR rank increases from 23rd to 19th.
Minnesota defeats Michigan; PWR rank increases from 26th to T-20th.
Lake Superior State defeats Alaska; PWR rank increases from 28th to 22nd.
Clarkson defeats St. Lawrence; PWR rank increases from 30th to T-23rd.
Boston College rose three spots from 34th to 31st despite not playing.
Maine rose four spots from 37th to 33rd despite not playing. (exhibition only vs. US U-18 Team)

Negative PWR Impacts, Dec. 8, 2018

Union defeated by Yale; PWR rank decreases from 9th to 13th.
Western Michigan ties with Minnesota-Duluth; PWR rank decreases from 13th to 15th.
Bemidji State defeated by Alabama-Huntsville; PWR rank decreases from 19th to 26th.
Colorado College defeated by Vermont; PWR rank decreases from 20th to 25th.
Air Force defeated by Mercyhurst; PWR rank decreases from 24th to 30th.
UMass-Lowell defeated by Boston University; PWR rank decreases from 25th to 28th.
Northern Michigan defeated by Michigan Tech; PWR rank decreases from 33rd to 37th.
Princeton defeated by Arizona State; PWR rank decreases from 35th to 44th.

2018-19 College Hockey Key Games: Week 12 (Dec. 13 – Dec. 19, 2018)

Positive PWR Impacts, Dec. 14, 2018

Ohio State rose two spots from 7th to 5th despite not playing.
Bowling Green defeats Minnesota State; PWR rank increases from 12th to 10th.
Lake Superior State rose two spots from 22nd to 20th despite not playing.

Negative PWR Impacts, Dec. 14, 2018

Minnesota Duluth fell two spots from 4th to 6th despite not playing.
Michigan Tech defeated by Alabama-Huntsville; PWR rank decreases from 20th to 23rd.
Colorado College defeated by Arizona State; PWR rank decreases from 25th to 31st.

Positive PWR Impacts, Dec. 15, 2018

Harvard rose four spots from 27th to T-23rd despite not playing.
Northern Michigan defeats Ferris State; PWR rank increases from 34th to 32nd.

Negative PWR Impacts, Dec. 15, 2018

Minnesota State defeated by Bowling Green; PWR rank decreases from 3rd to 8th.
Bemidji State defeated by Alaska-Anchorage; PWR rank decreases from 23rd to 33rd.

Long Pause

2018-19 College Hockey Key Games: Week 17 (Jan. 17 – Jan. 23, 2019)

Positive PWR Impacts, Jan. 18, 2019 – Top 30 Moves

Cornell defeats Harvard; PWR rank increases from 13th to 11th – would be in field.
Clarkson defeats Yale; PWR rank increases from 14th to 10th – would be in field.
Notre Dame defeats Wisconsin; PWR rank increases from 15th to 12th – estimated jump from cut line to in field.
North Dakota defeats Omaha; PWR rank increases from 23rd to 18th – estimated appx. 3-4 spots short of a bid.

Negative PWR Impacts, Jan. 18, 2019 – Top 30 Moves

Providence drops from 10th to 12th despite not playing – would be in field.
Bowling Green defeated by Alaska; PWR rank decreases from 11th to 15th – possibly on at-large cut line.
Arizona State drops from 12th to 14th despite not playing – possibly on at-large cut line.
Harvard defeated by Cornell; PWR rank decreases from 18th to 20th – several spots out of field.
Lake Superior defeated by Minnesota State; PWR rank decreases from 20th to 22nd – beyond first four out.
Yale defeated by Clarkson; PWR rank decreases from 22nd to 24th – appx. 8-10 spots out of at-large contention.

Positive PWR Impacts, Jan. 19, 2019 – Top 30 Moves

Arizona State increases from 14th to 11th despite not playing – would be in field.
Bowling Green defeats Alaska; PWR rank increases from 15th to 12th – would be in field.
Harvard defeats Colgate; PWR rank increases from 20th to 17th – appx. 2-3 spots out of field.
Lake Superior defeats Minnesota State; PWR rank increases from 22nd to 20th – appx. 5-6 spots out of field.

Negative PWR Impacts, Jan. 19, 2019 – Top 30 Moves

Western Michigan defeated by St. Cloud State; PWR rank decreases from 9th to 13th – would be in field; near cut line.
Providence defeated by Boston College; PWR rank decreases from 12th to 16th – falls 1-2 spots out of field.
North Dakota defeated by Omaha; PWR rank decreases from 18th to 22nd – appx. 8-9 spots out of the field.

2018-19 College Hockey Key Games: Week 18 (Jan. 24 – Jan. 30, 2019)

Positive PWR Impacts, Jan. 25, 2019 – Top 25 Moves

Western Michigan defeats Denver; PWR increases from 14th to 10th – moved appx. 4-5 spots clear of cut line.
Providence defeats Northeastern; PWR increases from 16th to T-14th – went from out to potentially in.
Boston University defeats Arizona State; PWR increases from 25th to T-20th – still appx. 5 spots out of field.

Negative PWR Impacts, Jan. 25, 2019 – Top 25 Moves

Northeastern defeated by Providence; PWR rank decreases from 7th to 9th – still well clear of cut line.
Clarkson defeated by Harvard; PWR rank decreases from 10th to 12th – appx. 2-3 spots from cut line.
Arizona State defeated by Boston University; PWR rank decreases from 11th to 16th – fell out of field.
Northern Michigan defeated by Minnesota State; PWR rank decreases from 23rd to 25th – well out of field.
Yale defeated by Union; PWR rank decreases from 24th to 26th – well out of field.

Positive PWR Impacts, Jan. 26, 2019 – Top 25 Moves

Western Michigan defeats Denver; PWR increases from 10th to 8th – securely in field.
Clarkson defeats Dartmouth; PWR increases from T-12th to T-10th – about 4-5 spots clear of cut line.
Providence defeats Northeastern; PWR increases from T-14th to T-10th – about 4-5 spots clear of cut line.
Arizona State defeats Boston University; PWR increases from 16th to 12th – went from out of field to back in field.
Harvard defeats St. Lawrence; PWR increases from 17th to 15th – on the cut line.
Penn State defeats Michigan; PWR increases from T-20th to T-18th – a few spots out.
North Dakota defeats St. Cloud State; PWR increases from 23rd to T-20th – about 5-6 spots out of field.

Negative PWR Impacts, Jan. 26, 2019 – Top 25 Moves

Denver defeated by Western Michigan; PWR rank decreases from 4th to 6th – lost their top regional seed.
Northeastern defeated by Providence; PWR rank decreases from 9th to 13th – now in the last four in.
Bowling Green defeated by Ferris State; PWR rank decreases from 11th to 16th – fell out of field.
Notre Dame ties with Michigan State; PWR rank decreases from T-12th to 14th – on cut line.
Union defeated by Brown; PWR rank decreases from T-14th to T-18th – fell out of field.
Boston University defeated by Arizona State; PWR rank decreases from T-20th to 22nd – about 6-7 spots out of tournament field.
Michigan defeated by Penn State; PWR rank decreases from 24th to T-26th – well out of the field.
Northern Michigan defeated by Minnesota State; PWR rank decreases from 25th to 28th – well out of the field.

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